Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.004698 0.004952 0.005214 0.005503 0.005814 0.006141 0.006508
2024-12-22 0.004221 0.004594 0.004995 0.005459 0.005985 0.006564 0.007253
2024-12-29 0.003879 0.004310 0.004787 0.005356 0.006023 0.006784 0.007725
2025-01-05 0.003627 0.004095 0.004625 0.005274 0.006054 0.006970 0.008141
2025-01-12 0.003471 0.003975 0.004557 0.005284 0.006181 0.007262 0.008687
2025-01-19 0.003233 0.003741 0.004337 0.005094 0.006045 0.007215 0.008795
2025-01-26 0.003130 0.003662 0.004295 0.005114 0.006163 0.007485 0.009314
2025-02-02 0.003096 0.003664 0.004349 0.005253 0.006434 0.007957 0.010126
2025-02-09 0.002972 0.003546 0.004249 0.005187 0.006433 0.008070 0.010451
2025-02-16 0.002881 0.003466 0.004189 0.005169 0.006491 0.008259 0.010889
2025-02-23 0.002788 0.003378 0.004116 0.005128 0.006513 0.008398 0.011260
2025-03-02 0.002746 0.003354 0.004124 0.005193 0.006681 0.008744 0.011950
2025-03-09 0.002671 0.003287 0.004074 0.005181 0.006743 0.008947 0.012450
2025-03-16 0.002590 0.003208 0.004005 0.005139 0.006762 0.009089 0.012864
2025-03-23 0.002494 0.003106 0.003902 0.005044 0.006698 0.009104 0.013075
2025-03-30 0.002411 0.003018 0.003815 0.004969 0.006658 0.009148 0.013333
2025-04-06 0.002364 0.002977 0.003789 0.004978 0.006742 0.009384 0.013919
2025-04-13 0.002254 0.002849 0.003639 0.004803 0.006542 0.009171 0.013735
2025-04-20 0.002217 0.002818 0.003623 0.004821 0.006634 0.009418 0.014352
2025-04-27 0.002218 0.002840 0.003681 0.004949 0.006898 0.009951 0.015508
2025-05-04 0.002158 0.002774 0.003614 0.004888 0.006866 0.010002 0.015802
2025-05-11 0.002115 0.002731 0.003577 0.004871 0.006902 0.010165 0.016312
2025-05-18 0.002067 0.002681 0.003528 0.004834 0.006903 0.010268 0.016717